August review: +306.7 units (+18.1% ROI)

Oh, the joy of golf betting. Golf Betting Expert manage to find the winner in all 4 tournaments of the month, which – naturally – resulted in a massive profit. 333 units at an incredible +328% ROI.

That’s golf betting in a nutshell. Unrealistic numbers when looking at them short term, but potentially very profitable in the long run. Golf Betting Expert is currently at a total of +452 units (+22.5% ROI) from 944 bets since December 2016.

General results from August 2018

Tipsters

As you might have figured out, there wasn’t much action among the other tipster this month. Swingform, the other golf tipster, also managed to find some winners (the two actually found the same one at a point, spot the spike in the graph…) and ended at +37 units (+37.9% ROI).

Other than that, there were mostly red numbers. Small numbers, but still red.

Pro Footy Tips is back. A different strategy this time as it seems. Let’s see what effect it has the results going forward. I’ve got high expectations from this service!

Sports

Even if baseball (Clear Data Sports) should do better, I really enjoy the process of betting in the sport. There’s lots of data available and there’s no shortage of people trying to interpret them at pretty much every level. I’m not an expert at all, but following it all makes it a great sport and service to follow. If the results follow, that is.

NFL season is underway, and while Clear Data Sport are crunching the numbers there as well, I need to do some testing there before adding their service in that sport into the portfolio.

The diversity is alright in the portfolio right now. Just wishing for a basketball tipster. I have one on the radar, but waiting for the season to start there right now.

In other news…

My personal bets are underperforming, both in numbers and results. Just 26 bets in August, hoping to find the time to raise that number in the months to come.

Anyway, that’s it for this time. Feel free to follow my results at Bettin.gs, as always.

July review: +8.8 units (+0.71% ROI)

Portfolio performance July 2018

The losing run from June never seemed to end and continued long into July, where things finally started going the right way again. Slowly and steadily I made my way back and somehow ended the month in a small profit.

I think it’s the biggest downturn I’ve had in the portfolio and I’m glad to see how my bankroll handled it. I’d love to compare downturns over time – probably something I’ll need to build into Bettin.gs!

July 2018 numbers
July 2018

Tipsters

Danilo Pereira came back in style with 73 units won and an ROI of almost 49% and Nishi Kori was a solid service to lean on as it was the most active one with 77 bets. 37 units and +9.7% ROI from him.

On the other end of the spectra we find Golf Betting Expert who had another losing month, as well as Master Racing Tipster whose winning run has clearly come to and end.

I’ve added the baseball service I’ve been having on trial for a while. I thought half way into the MLB season would be a good time for that and while the first 69 bets hasn’t shown profit, I’m excited to see what it’ll bring. It’s Clear Data Sports, an American service based on a few different models in different sports.

Tipsters July 2018
Tipsters July 2018

In other news…

All leagues are ramping up and football is here again. Expecting quite a few more bets than the 328 this month.

June review: -51 units (-4% ROI)

Not much time for analyzing unfortunately due to reasons, but I did not expect June to end in red after going +100 units the first week. What a terrible run I’m on at the moment.

Tipsters

A quick look at the tipster table shows what’s going on. No luck with the golf (been a while now), and I had a terrible world cup with my own bets, but above all – Danilo Pereira with another huge losing month after some horrendous tipping. Almost 76 units down for an ROI at -22.6%. Quite an achievement at those odds (2.17 on average) from 62 bets.

In other news

Bet Alchemist is out of the portfolio. I’ve mentioned before that I’m finding it hard to motivate betting on horses, and I’ve never really found a way to place his bets (each-eay or win only) that’s felt suitable for me. Plus he only publishes his tips on a website that sucks balls to navigate. A good horse tipster in the long run though for sure, but it’s not for me.

This leaves me with just 7 tipsters in the portfolio which leaves room for at least one or two more. I’ve got two lined up among my tipsters on trial, but if you have any tips whatsoever, feel free to add a comment. Cheers.

May review: +61.8 units (+4.4% ROI)

A lot to be happy about this month. The results weren’t extreme in any way, and that’s what I like. The profits kept coming in a steady pace, at least until a dip eventually arrived at the end of the month.

Summary

404 bets is a clear sign that the seasons for the most popular sports are coming to an end.

General stats May 2018

Sports

Almost more tennis bets than football bets, that says something. I surely don’t mind as long as the profits look like this. 84 units from tennis alone.

Tipsters

It’s Nishi Kori at the top of the list with both most bets and most units in profit. Golf Betting Expert finally turned things around with a nice month and 42 units in.

Surprisingly, Danilo Pereira was one of the least successful tipsters and I don’t expect that to happen very often. He is, and should be, one of the most predictable services I follow.

Not much to say about the others except that Fut Unver finished his fantastic debut season on top. Looking forward to the next one.

When it comes to Bet Alchemist I decided to go back to each way betting, but it turns out it’s just too much hassle getting both the win and the place bet matched at the exchanges so I’m going back to placing win bets only. I’ll keep the stake a bit lower (2 units) that I used to though.

In other news…

World Cup is around the corner and I’ve placed a few pre-tournament bets already. I’m using a separate hashtag for all those bets at Bettin.gs of course to follow up easily.

I’m tracking a couple of MLB and NBA services on the side and as it seems, it’s quite likely they’ll be added to the portfolio once next years seasons begin. That’ll be 2019 though…

April review: -124 units (-7.1% ROI)

Result graph April 2018

I got a disappointing email from Betting Gods, where Pro Footy Tips decided to end his services from out out nowhere. Apart from it being unserious and unprofessional, it’s a shame for my personal portfolio as it was a very profitable service to follow. From 450 bets in 13 months, he made 231 units of profit for an ROI of +15.4% for me (minus charges).

So one football tipster shorter from now on. I’ll probably replace him somehow, but not sure how and when. Most likely not until the start of next season, after the summer.

April was a pretty poor month overall, with a long and frustrating losing streak wiping out the early winnings and causing the month to end in red.

Summary

448 bets with a strike rate of 29.2% is pretty close to normal, but too many tipsters showing too big losses to make it a good month.

General stats April 2018

Sports

Tipsters

Master Racing Tipster finally got on a good run, but that didn’t help much since Bet Alchemist, Nishi Kori, Football Investor and not least Golf Betting Expert showed some blood red numbers.

Football Investor has had a very poor season and that isn’t quite like him at all if you look at the previous seasons. Looking forward to the end of season review to hear his comments. I’m undecided to keep him in the portfolio, partly based on the trend this year but also that it’s a low frequent service and if a more active tipster shows up, I might go for that instead.

 

Also, it’s time for Golf Betting Expert to step up. Swingform on the other hand nailed the 3 first places in a tournament this month.

May has started nicely, let’s hope it’s a sign of better times to come.

Update: Forgot to mention that I’ve changed the staking strategy a bit for Bet Alchemist. Despite the fact that there are bigger wins to be expected in the long run by betting win only, I’ve decided to go for an each-way strategy instead. I find the swings a bit too extreme for my own liking. I prefer a more steady development in this portfolio. I’ve also reduced the stakes a bit. They are 1 unit each way for his bets from now on.

March review: +34 units (+2,45% ROI)

Another month in the books and it was one with many faces. The best face was the fact that Bet Alchemist absolutely crushed it at Cheltenham – that big horse racing event that everyone into horse racing is talking about. I’m more into the results and I was just as happy with that.

The sad face is the golf face. My two tipsters in that area can’t seem to hit a fairway at the moment. Such is golf betting though, but I hope luck will turn soon.

Summary

General stats March 2018

Sports

Stats per sport March 2018

Tipsters

I finally added a tennis tipster. I decided to go for “Nishi Kori” from Pyckio.com, as he passed all my tests after a pretty short test period, is a hall of famer at the Secret Betting Club and has gotten nice review from them. He introduced himself in the best possible way, with 134 units in profits the first month!

A more worrying trend is that Football Investor is having a tough season with just around +3% ROI so far. March ended 81 units down.

Stats per tipster March 2018

As I was trialing Nishi Kori, I stumbled upon another very interesting tipster at Pyckio – Fut Unver and the more I saw from him the more I liked it. The betting strategy, the results, and ont least that I was able to get even better odds than he quoted I decided to actually take him onboard. This was not planned, but there’s too much to like about him not to. He will be in the portfolio from April 1st (no joke).

This means I’m currently following 10 tipsters, which is practically the max I’ve set for myself to actually run this portfolio in a convenient way. That said, I do still have a few more on my radar…

All in all, I was hoping for a better ending for the month, but still – profit. Let’s hope April brings even more of that.

February review: -106 units (-12.6% ROI)

This one’s way overdue, but anyway. I’m back from my two weeks in Thailand. Back to reality. Turns out placing bets from that location was no bigger issue, so not as big a dip in activity as I might have thought. Perhaps I’d been better off without placing many of the bets though. February was no easy month to make money.

It sounds like I wasn’t the only one having a tough month among the bettors out there, but that’s no real comfort, is it?

Tipsters

Sports

In other news

I’ll just leave it there. The full breakdown is available at Bettin.gs/samuelericson, as always.

January review: -4 units (-0,34% ROI)

A first month of the year that doesn’t leave too many remarks. The new year started out great, with a busy start with loads of bets from smaller football tournaments in Brazil primarily.

Sadly, a blood red weekend awaited, wiping out all the profits in just a few days. The rest of the month was about recovery from that and in the end the portfolio ended up at break-even.

January 2018
January 2018

320 bets in total, 1181 units stakes, a strike rate of about 28%, all ending up with a break-even game.

Tipsters

Tipsters January 2018
Tipsters January 2018

Good month for Bet Alchemist, Football Investor and Danilo Pereira, while the others seemed to underperform. My personal bets were among the worst. A case of hubris after the sweet results lately or just a regression to the mean?

In other news

February will be mostly about grinding the bets out, but it’ll be a shorter month than normal as I’ll be going to Thailand for a couple of weeks and have no plans to place any bets during that time. After all, I’m on vacation…

I’ve also more or less decided to add a tennis tipster I’ve been keeping an eye on. That has to wait until March though, as long as the good performance keeps the same high level until then.

That’s all. Onwards and upwards.

Into 2018

New year, new possibilities. As they say.

I will be making some adjustments in the portfolio for the new year – things I’ve been planning to do for months, just waiting for the new year.

New tipsters

Danilo Pereira, Brazilian football tipster, betting on the Asian Handicaps in Brazil and a few other South American competitions. I’ve been trialing his service since September and I’m now ready to take him on board. Quite a busy one, so he’ll most likely make a mark.

Swingform, another golf tipster. I’m really enjoying betting on golf and that’s one of the reasons I’m taking another tipster into the portfolio. The other one being the results shown so far and money to be made, obviously. I’ve been trialing the service since May and despite the ups and downs in numbers (such is golf) I’m adding it from Jan 1st.

Tipsters out

I’m a bit sad to see two of my most active tipsters go, but that’s the reality for both All Weather Profits and Jason James. This is due to two reasons: The first and most important one is that there hasn’t been too much profit lately. All Weather Profits shows +0,99% ROI over the last year (about 10 units won) and Jason James has been pretty much broken even the last 18 months.

The other reason is that I’ve found I simply have no interest in horse racing. Both of these are busy racing tipsters with loads of wisdom, but for me it’s all about the numbers. Long losing runs are harder to cope with when you don’t have a clue about form or reasons behind it and the time it takes to place all bets is just now worth it if there’s no fun or excitement in it. That said, both services have proven to be profitable in the long run and I wouldn’t hesitate to recommend them both to anyone with the slightest interest in horse racing.

With these two out, it means I have only two horse racing tipsters left in the portfolio – Master Racing Tipster and Bet Alchemist. Both of them are low workload tipsters with great track records. That suits me better.

Also, Winabobatoo, not really a tipster but a service, but I’ve decided to let that one live outside the portfolio as one of the sources that I base my personal bets on.

Adjustments

I’ll be increasing the stakes slightly for Pro Footy Tips. With an ROI of 16,85% from his 319 bets so far, I’m ready to invest a little more in his tips. This means that for each point from him (his scale is 1-5) I’ll be betting 2 units (my scale is 1-10). It’s been 1,5 units so far.

I’ll also be upping the stakes for Bet Alchemist a bit. His bets are usually one point. I’ll be putting on 3 units for each of them.

I’ve also already upped the stake for my least busy tipster On The Oche. The stake for each of his points is now 6 units. This is due to the fact that there was only one bet higher than 1 unit from him during last year and with a track record like his, there’s no need to hold back the stakes. It’s a great darts service to follow.

Other changes

I was hoping to add a basket tipster to the portfolio, but have decided I need more time to analyze his service before making a decision. I would like to add one basket tipster and one tennis tipster to diversify the portfolio, but good ones are hard to find. Any tips? Would love to try a few out.

The portfolio

As it stands at the start of the new year, here are the 8 services included:

Unless I stumble upon that tennis or basket service, this is pretty much I hope the portfolio will look during 2018.

Here’s to another great year of betting!

December review: +156 units (+11,8% ROI)

An excellent end of the year with pretty much all sports performing well. This concludes a betting year that I’ll try to sum up in a separate blog post, but until then, here are the numbers for December.

A total of 378 bets shows that this portfolio thing can be quite busy, not least during the holidays. The ROI is great for the second month in a row. Something that makes me really look forward to 2018. There will be some changes in the portfolio (more on that in yet another blog post), but hopefully that will make the numbers even better.

Tipsters

I might have been a bit too active with my personal tips this month. 74 of them is a bit too much as I don’t want to be the most active tipster in my own portfolio. I’m going to be more selective going forward.

It’s also a bit ironic that Jason James had such a great month just as I decided to remove him from the portfolio together with All Weather Profits, while Master Racing Tipster and Bet Alchemist, the two horse racing tipsters I’ve decided to keep had such a lousy month.

I’m glad I decided to keep On The Oche though, as he had a great PDC World Championship.

Football Investor continues his great form together with Pro Footy Tips, while I’m still struggling to really find the best way to use Winabobatoo’s numbers. Still don’t know how to get around this, but there’s still time to test some new options before the season’s over.

Sports

The ice hockey bets are all my own, and that’s where my own bets continue to shine. In 2018, the horse racing category won’t be that dominant.

In other news

More about the changes I’m making in 2018 in another blog post, as I mentioned. There are some new tipsters coming in, others leaving and some changes in my staking plan. There will also be another post summing up 2018.

Stay tuned.